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Asia Pacific shares trade mixed as investors watch US-China trade developments – CNBC

September 23, 2019 by Zettan

Shares in Asia were mostly lower on Monday as investors watched for developments on the U.S.-China trade front

Mainland Chinese shares declined on the day, with the Shanghai composite falling 0.98% to about 2,977.08 and the Shenzhen composite down 0.912% to approximately 1,660.06.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index shed 0.57%, as of its final hour of trading. Shares of companies related to China’s Fosun saw declines, following the collapse of the world’s oldest travel firm Thomas Cook — the Chinese conglomerate is the largest shareholder in the British firm. Fosun Tourism dropped 4.36% and Fosun International declined 1.34%.

South Korea’s Kospi finished largely flat at 2,091.70, while the S&P/ASX 200 in Australia closed 0.28% higher at 6,749.70.

Over in India, shares bucked the overall downward trend regionally as the Nifty 50 and S&P BSE Sensex both jumped more than 3% each, adding to large gains seen last Friday after a surprise tax cut was announced.

Overall, the MSCI Asia ex-Japan index shed 0.15%.

Markets in Japan were closed on Monday for a holiday.

Asia-Pacific Market Indexes Chart

US-China trade

On the trade front, China’s Ministry of Commerce said over the weekend that economic and trade teams from the two economic powerhouses held “constructive” discussions in Washington late last week. They added that both the U.S. and China agreed to maintain in contact.

Shares stateside had slipped last Friday after the Chinese delegation canceled a visit to U.S. farms in Montana and Beijing officials headed back to China earlier than planned, dampening expectations of a trade deal being reached.

“The starting point is they’re not on the same page, the collateral damage is going to be far more pernicious because even if China is implicated it’s not just China that’s implicated,” Vishnu Varathan, head of economics and strategy at Mizuho Bank, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Monday. “I don’t think anyone is winning the trade war.”

Oil prices jump

Oil prices jumped in the afternoon of Asian trading hours, with international benchmark Brent crude futures gaining 0.84% to $64.82 per barrel and U.S. crude futures jumping 0.96% to $58.65 per barrel.

Shares of oil companies regionally, however, were mixed. Australia’s Beach Energy jumped 1.95% and Santos gained 0.64%, while South Korea’s S-Oil rose 0.49%. Hong Kong-listed shares of China’s CNOOC, on the other hand, slipped 0.95% as of their final hour of trading.

The moves in crude prices came after reports surrounding Saudi Arabian state oil firm Aramco, which recently saw attacks at major facilities. The Wall Street Journal reported Sunday that repairs at Aramco could take months longer than the firm expects, citing Saudi officials and contractors.

That came following a Nikkei Asian Review report that Aramco told Japanese refiner JXTG about a potential change in shipments, raising questions over the kingdom’s ability to supply crude.

Currencies

The U.S. dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of its peers, was last at 98.536 after seeing an earlier low of 98.446.

The Japanese yen traded at 107.74 against the dollar after seeing lows above 108.3 in the previous trading week. The Australian dollar changed hands at $0.6772 after declining from levels above $0.685 last week.

— CNBC’s Fred Imbert contributed to this report.

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Filed Under: Pacific, Trade Tagged With: Pacific, Trade

Trump says trade talks still planned for September after China tariffs go into effect – CNBC

September 1, 2019 by Zettan

President Donald Trump, U.S. President Donald Trump’s national security adviser John Bolton, U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin attend a working dinner with Chinese President Xi Jinping after the G20 leaders summit in Buenos Aires, Argentina December 1, 2018. 

Kevin Lemarque | CNBC

President Donald Trump said trade talks with Beijing are still planned for September after a new round of tariffs went into effect on Sunday.

“We are talking to China, the meetings in September, that hasn’t changed,” Trump told reporters Sunday on the White House South Lawn after returning from Camp David. 

Tariffs went into effect early Sunday on $112 billion of Chinese imports. The 15% tariffs cover a wide range of consumer goods, including everything from certain types of clothing and shoes to some consumer electronics like cameras and desktop computers.

Beijing has started to impose retaliatory tariffs on some of the U.S. goods on its $75 billion target list.

Another round of U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports is set to go into effect Dec. 15. The goods targeted for that round include laptops and smartphones. In total, U.S. tariffs on Sept. 1 and Dec. 15 will hit $300 billion of Chinese imports.

The new tariffs could cost the average American household $1,000 a year, according to a J.P. Morgan estimate. More than 160 industry groups have written the president to voice their opposition to the tariffs. 

Trump has slammed companies that oppose his trade policy as “badly run and weak,” saying they were using tariffs as an excuse for bad management.  

Wall Street had a volatile August after Trump announced his plan to slap tariffs on Chinese imports. The S&P 500 posted 11 moves of more than 1% in 22 trading sessions for August. Those moves included three declines of at least 2.6% as well as the index’s worst day of the year on Aug. 5.

Investors are also increasingly concerned about an economic downturn after the bond market flashed a recession signal in August known as a yield curve inversion. That is when the yield on the 10-year Treasury note falls below the 2-year rate as investors dump stocks and pile into long-term U.S. debt, which is viewed as a safehaven. 

— CNBC’s Yun Li and Fred Imbert contributed to this report

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Filed Under: Trade, Trump Tagged With: Trade, Trump

A year into the trade war, China learns to ride out Trump’s turbulence – The Washington Post

August 27, 2019 by Zettan



President Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping during a bilateral meeting alongside Group of 20 talks in Osaka, Japan, in June. (Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images)

BEIJING — President Trump may think he’s keeping Chinese negotiators guessing with his whiplash-inducing remarks about the U.S.-China trade war.

But he’s not fooling anyone here.

More than a year into the deepening commercial conflict, Chinese officials and analysts say they’ve got a handle on the tweeter-in-chief and are no longer fazed by his unpredictable initiatives.

“There is a lot of fatigue with President Trump’s ‘art of the deal,’ ” said Wang Huiyao, president of the Center for China and Globalization and an adviser to China’s cabinet.

“It’s like a roller coaster. Buenos Aires, Osaka, Shanghai. He says one thing one day, then hits the world with a surprise the next day,” Wang said, referring to the sites of high-level, if ill-fated, negotiating sessions. “The more they deal with him, the more they figure him out.”

At the Group of Seven leaders’ summit in Biarritz, France, this weekend, Trump brushed aside complaints that his habit of swerving between tough talk and a salesman’s hype was damaging the global economy.

“Sorry! It’s the way I negotiate,” he told reporters Monday. “It’s done very well for me over the years. It’s doing very well for the country.”

It hasn’t, however, produced a deal that would commit China to make the structural changes in its state-led economy that the administration has been seeking for more than a year.

Trump has announced tariffs that by Dec. 15 will cover almost 97 percent of the Chinese merchandise that American companies import, according to economist Chad Bown of the Peterson Institute for International Economics.

By depressing demand for Chinese goods, U.S. tariffs have cost 3 million Chinese factory workers their jobs, according to Trump, and put pressure on Chinese President Xi Jinping to make a deal.

Trump’s claim to have the upper hand at the negotiating table does not appear to have convinced the Chinese.

“They’ve decided Trump is a vacillating guy who can’t figure out what he wants and gets spooked every time the stock market goes down or someone accuses him of not being tough,” said Arthur Kroeber, managing director of Gavekal Dragonomics, a consultancy in Beijing. “Although there are problems in China, they believe they have their economy under control, more so than Trump. They think he is more vulnerable to a slowdown and that they can afford to wait him out.”

[Trump retaliates in trade war by demanding companies cut ties with China ]

By early May, the two sides had completed 90 percent of a deal involving major Chinese purchases of American farm, industrial and energy products as well as enhanced protections for foreign companies’ technology and trade secrets, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said this summer.

But the trade war between the world’s economic superpowers appears to have entered a dangerous new phase this month, with new rounds of retaliatory tariffs and a demand from Trump that U.S. companies stop doing business with China.

That has caused alarm across the globe, with fears that the war could help tip leading economies such as Japan and Germany into recession and create new head winds for the American economy. China’s growth rate has, meanwhile, slowed to its lowest rate in three decades.

Chinese officials were initially mystified by Trump’s unconventional style, and Xi is said to have faced criticism for underestimating Trump’s resolve to tackle China’s trading practices.

But emerging last week from this year’s Communist Party confab at the beach resort of Beidaihe, China’s leadership appears to have decided to hunker down.

“What’s the point of calling Xi Jinping ‘a good friend’ and ‘a great leader’ but still increasing tariffs?” asked Yao Xinchao, a trade professor at the University of International Business and Economics. “He’s a 70-ish-year-old man but speaks like a 7-year-old kid. We just can’t listen to what he says now. I think Chinese leaders have realized this, too.”

Wang Yiwei, a professor of international relations at the Renmin University, shares a similarly disdainful view. “He is a real estate developer; he is a profiteer in the eyes of the Chinese people,” he said. 

[‘Protectionist bullying’: China denounces Trump administration’s latest tariff hikes ]

But the bottom line remains that China, which is experiencing a marked economic slowdown, wants a deal.

“The trade dispute between China and the U.S. should be resolved through dialogue and consultations,” Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang said Tuesday, adding that the United States’s “maximum-pressure approach hurts both sides and is not in the least constructive.”

“We hope that the U.S. can exercise restraint, return to reason, and demonstrate sincerity in order to facilitate further consultations on the basis of mutual respect and mutual benefits,” Geng said.

The question now is how the two sides find a way out of the standoff.

Wei Jianguo, a former vice minister of commerce, said Trump’s efforts to browbeat countries such as Canada, Mexico and Japan into making a deal will not work with China. 

“We have seen and understand Trump’s style,” Wei said. “If he thinks he can secure an advantage for the U.S. and wear China down by exerting various kinds of extreme pressure, he’s dreaming. It’s impossible.”

[With the U.S.-China trade war escalating, Trump arrives at G-7 with a list of grievances ]

The longer this pattern continues, the more China becomes concerned that any deal won’t stick.

 “Now China understands him thoroughly and knows that inconsistency is his nature,” said Wang, of Renmin University. “Even if an agreement is signed, he may not implement it well. But, without an agreement, he does this over and over again, which is also very annoying.”

Many analysts expect the dispute to continue to at least November, when the two leaders are likely to meet at a summit of Pacific Rim nations in Chile.

Xi, meanwhile, confronts domestic political challenges that likely reduce his willingness to make concessions under foreign pressure. The authorities in Beijing face a growing crisis in Hong Kong, where protests aimed at preserving the city’s special status continue, and are preoccupied by preparations to celebrate in early October the politically charged 70th anniversary of the Communist Party’s takeover of China.

Liu Yang, Wang Yuan and Lyric Li contributed to this report.

            Read more         

Trump insists trade talks have restarted with China, but details are elusive

Mixed signals, reversals cloud second day of G-7 summit

Trump drops pretense of friendship with China’s Xi Jinping, calls him an ‘enemy’

            Today’s coverage from Post correspondents around the world            

            Like Washington Post World on Facebook and stay updated on foreign news         

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Filed Under: China, Trade Tagged With: China, Trade

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